UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp Northwestern 1
  
Northwestern          
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 73.0579

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Tulane AME ( 6- 2, 73.0) 3-23 905 H We Illinois 42- 7 913 H Oregon B10 ( 7- 1, 86.0) 14-34 927 H UCLA B10 ( 3- 5, 72.7) 17-14 1004 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 6, 58.0) 42- 7 1011 A Penn St B10 ( 3- 5, 75.6) 22-21 1018 H Purdue B10 ( 2- 7, 69.2) 19- 0 1025 A Nebraska B10 ( 6- 3, 73.8) 21-28 1107 A USC B10 ( 6- 2, 84.3) 1115 H Michigan B10 ( 7- 2, 79.2) 1122 H Minnesota B10 ( 6- 3, 70.0) 1129 A Illinois B10 ( 6- 3, 83.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 A Tulane                  3-23     -20    -4    ---  -16.11
   913 H Oregon                 14-34     -20    -9    ---  -11.01
   927 H UCLA                   17-14       3     4          -1.33
  1004 H La-Monroe              42- 7      35    19           1.04
  1011 A Penn St                22-21       1    -6    +++    7.46
  1018 H Purdue                 19- 0      19     8    +++   11.24
  1025 A Nebraska               21-28      -7    -5    -     -2.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 A Tulane                  3-23     -20    -4    ---  -16.11
   913 H Oregon                 14-34     -20    -9    ---  -11.01
  1025 A Nebraska               21-28      -7    -5    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1011 A Penn St                22-21       1    -6    +++    7.46
  1018 H Purdue                 19- 0      19     8    +++   11.24

Northwestern Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Northwestern   Northwestern
California Northwestern   Northwestern
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC Northwestern   Northwestern
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Northwestern   Northwestern
Syracuse Northwestern   Northwestern
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Northwestern   Northwestern
Wake Forest Northwestern   Northwestern
Army Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Charlotte Northwestern   Northwestern
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Northwestern   Northwestern
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Northwestern   Northwestern
No Texas No Texas   No Texas
Rice Northwestern   Northwestern
So Florida So Florida   So Florida
Temple Northwestern   Northwestern
Tulane Tulane Tulane  
Tulsa Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
UAB Northwestern   Northwestern
UTSA Northwestern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwestern
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Northwestern   Northwestern
Cincinnati Cincinnati tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cincinnati
Colorado Northwestern   Northwestern
Houston Houston   Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF Northwestern   Northwestern
Utah Utah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Illinois
Indiana Indiana insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Indiana
Iowa Iowa tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Iowa
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Maryland
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Michigan
Michigan St Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northwestern
Minnesota Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Northwestern
Nebraska Nebraska Nebraska  
Ohio St Ohio St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ohio St
Oregon Oregon Oregon  
Penn St Northwestern Northwestern  
Purdue Northwestern Northwestern  
Rutgers Northwestern tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northwestern
UCLA Northwestern Northwestern  
USC USC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Florida Intl Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwestern
Jacksonv. St Northwestern   Northwestern
Kennesaw St Northwestern   Northwestern
Liberty Northwestern   Northwestern
La Tech Northwestern   Northwestern
Middle Tenn Northwestern   Northwestern
NM St Northwestern   Northwestern
SHouston St Northwestern   Northwestern
UTEP Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwestern
We Kentucky Northwestern   Northwestern
UMass Northwestern   Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn Northwestern   Northwestern
Akron Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Ball St Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwestern
Bowl. Green Northwestern   Northwestern
Buffalo Northwestern   Northwestern
Cen Michigan Northwestern   Northwestern
Ea Michigan Northwestern   Northwestern
Kent State Northwestern   Northwestern
MiamiOH Northwestern   Northwestern
No Illinois Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio Northwestern   Northwestern
Toledo Northwestern   Northwestern
We Michigan Northwestern   Northwestern
Air Force Northwestern   Northwestern
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St Northwestern   Northwestern
Fresno St Northwestern   Northwestern
Hawaii Northwestern   Northwestern
Nevada Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwestern
New Mexico New Mexico tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Mexico
San Diego St Northwestern   Northwestern
San Jose St Northwestern   Northwestern
UNLV Northwestern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwestern
Utah St Northwestern   Northwestern
Wyoming Northwestern   Northwestern
Oregon St Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Wash St Wash St   Wash St
Alabama Alabama tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Northwestern   Northwestern
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Miss St   Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St Northwestern   Northwestern
Arkansas State Northwestern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northwestern
Coastal Car Northwestern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwestern
Georgia So Northwestern   Northwestern
Georgia St Northwestern   Northwestern
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Northwestern   Northwestern
Marshall Northwestern   Northwestern
Old Dominion Old Dominion tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Old Dominion
So Miss Northwestern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwestern
So Alabama Northwestern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwestern
Texas State Northwestern   Northwestern
Troy Northwestern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwestern
La-Monroe Northwestern Northwestern  

PowerWise = 75


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Tulane          ( 6- 2, 73.0)     3-23      -26.89      27.10       3.93         1.21           -13.88
   0 H Oregon          ( 7- 1, 86.0)    14-34      -13.92      40.07      -3.93         1.21           -10.79
   0 H UCLA            ( 3- 5, 72.7)    17-14      -27.24      26.75      -3.93         1.21            55.17
   0 H La-Monroe       ( 3- 6, 58.0)    42- 7      -41.87      12.12      -3.93         1.21            19.80
   0 A Penn St         ( 3- 5, 75.6)    22-21      -24.31      29.68       3.93         1.21            81.27
   0 H Purdue          ( 2- 7, 69.2)    19- 0      -30.67      23.32      -3.93         1.21            46.89
   0 A Nebraska        ( 6- 3, 73.8)    21-28      -26.07      27.92       3.93         1.21           -13.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       165.07

winning pts = 203.1188 losing points = -38.0474

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------